OpenAI Researcher Mocks Elon Musk's AGI Claim to His Face
Futurism
“My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI is now at 10 percent and rising ... Grok 5 will be AGI or something indistinguishable from AGI”
Elon Musk18 October 2025- What you'll lose0/5
Nothing taken.
- Condescension3/5
Then told an OpenAI researcher not to call himself a 'researcher'.
- Tone-deafness2/5
AGI by the next version, probability 'rising'.
- Doom2/5
AGI, or something 'indistinguishable from AGI'.
- Hypocrisy0/5
None.
Full time7 pitchforksof a possible 25
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The occasion
X (posts), 18 October 2025.
Context
Musk posted the first line on a Saturday; after an xAI employee endorsed the forecast he followed up with the second. An OpenAI research scientist, Gabriel Petersson, joked about it and Musk replied that he should not call himself a 'researcher'. Futurism spells out '10 percent'; Techbang's report translates the figure as 10%.
Crowd reaction
Critical commentary
Futurism called Musk an 'inveterate overpromiser' and quoted OpenAI's Gabriel Petersson: '10 percent chance Elon declares he reached AGI a fourth time ... It's no longer first to AGI, it's first to 10 AGIs.' Musk replied that Petersson should not call himself a 'researcher' and added: 'Pathetic.' Techbang's headline says an OpenAI researcher mocked it as his fourth such announcement.